On the eve of the president’s second news conference, he might want to take a look at John Kingdon’s classic Agendas, Alterantives and Public Policy.  Along with setting the record for most mixed-metaphors in a book (garbage cans, primeval soup, policy streams, policy windows), the study provides a key insight for understanding policy change.  In a nutshell, Kingdon argues that if you can merge policy problems, the decision-making agenda, and policy solutions brought forth by policy entrepreneurs, a policy window opens up (I know, the high school English teacher in you is cringing), that allows you to realize a policy agenda.

Kingdon’s streams imply an order to the policy process…only a handful of problems and solutions can garner the attention of policy makers at any given point in time and only a certain set of solutions are acceptable to decision makers and the public. By contrast, the Obama administration’s new budget seems to be part of a “shock and awe” approach to the policy process…flood the public agenda with a number of simultaneous problems and solutions (health care, education, climate change, etc.) in the hope that the deluge will overwhelm members and result in mass policy change.

It’s an interesting and maybe unprecedented public policy strategy. If it works, it may signal a new approach to policy change, albeit one at which the framers would cringe. Personally, I’m skeptical that we’ll get a budget that looks anything like it currently does. The Senate is already putting the brakes on the process.

What do you think of a “shock and awe” approach to policy change?