The Christian Science Monitor recently reported on shifting trends in divorce rates during the Great Recession:
The divorce rate fell 4 percent in 2008 to 16.9 divorces per 1,000 married women, according to Census Bureau data. It had previously been on an upward path, rising from 16.4 divorces per 1,000 married women in 2005 to 17.5 in 2007.
The economy may play a role in this decline:
“Many couples may be rediscovering the long-standing sociological truth that marriage is one of society’s best social insurance plans,” said W. Bradford Wilcox, a sociology professor and director of the National Marriage Project at the University of Virginia, in a new report on the state of US marital unions.
Some couples may be staying together only temporarily. If past trends are any guide, some of the decline in the divorce rate may be due to couples delaying divorce because they cannot afford it, or need the resources of an estranged spouse.
But others may be rediscovering why they got married in the first place. Recession reminds them that marriage can be more than an emotional relationship. It is also an economic partnership and social safety net, points out the National Marriage Project report, “The State of Our Unions 2009”.
“There’s nothing like the loss of a job, an imminent foreclosure, or a shrinking 401(k) to [help spouses] gain new appreciation for a wife’s job, a husband’s commitment to pay down debt, or the in-laws’ willingness to help out with childcare or a rent-free place to live,” according to the report.
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Tweets that mention a recession today keeps the divorce lawyer away » Contexts Crawler -- Topsy.com — December 18, 2009
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Philip Cohen — December 19, 2009
I hate to take the silver out of the lining here, but the divorce rate has been falling since 1981. The "upward path" from 2005 to 2007 is a one-year blip in a long decline. The decline over the last year is the continuation of the long-term trend. I explain more on this here: http://familyinequality.wordpress.com/2009/12/18/recession-resilience-divorce/
It is interesting that this story catches on despite its implausibility. The "upward path" seems right because many people still assume divorce is always getting worse (sort of like crime). We have much more evidence, over many studies, that job loss and hard times increase the odds of divorce. This recession may turn out to be different, of course, but there is no solid evidence of that yet.
uberVU - social comments — December 24, 2009
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