Killing at the hands of an illegal alien spurs furious debate about closing borders and deporting the undocumented. It is the year before a presidential election and candidates denounce undocumented immigrants as the conveyors of Mexican violence into our country.
When Robert J. Sampson, Harvard sociologist and criminologist, wrote about this news, he was not writing about the death of young Kate Steinle in San Francisco in 2015, but about murders in New Jersey in 2007. And he wrote to say that his research and that of others showed that immigrants are less likely than the native-born to commit murder and “that immigration — even if illegal — is associated with lower crime rates….” He had previously made similar claims in The New York Times and had gotten vituperation in response.
Popular skepticism toward Sampson might be expected given the media coverage of sensational crimes like the one on Pier 14 and of Mexico’s drug wars. But behind the headlines, the daily reality on the streets of the U.S. seems to be that immigrants bring less crime. Indeed, scholars like Sampson have suggested that the surge of Latino immigration, documented and not, may partly explain the great drop in violent crime in American cities since the 1980s.
Now, two presidential cycles since the Sampson article, we have new studies and more technically sophisticated ones on the topic. What do they say about the effects of immigration on crime and violence?
Immigration does not increase crime
The research I reviewed – several recent articles (see bibliography here) – is pretty consistent: Immigrants and concentrations of immigrants are associated with lower rates of crime and homicide. To be more cautious: at minimum, there is no connection between immigration and higher rates of crime.
Studies of individuals show that, as two experts summarize, “immigrants are less, not more, crime prone than their native-born counterparts.” Second- and third-generation immigrants start to look more like many-generation Americans in criminality (much as they do in other ways, such as diet and health behaviors). One study suggests that for adolescents the “protective” effect against criminality of being an immigrant may wear off after four years. But newcomers are notably less likely to commit crime than otherwise similar American-born youth.
Neighborhoods with many immigrants are not higher in crime
Many new studies compare neighborhoods, cities, or counties to assess the relationship between local concentrations of immigrants (or of Latinos) and rates of crime or violence. The general conclusion is that the higher these concentrations in a community, the lower the rates. A couple of studies find that the connection depends on the local context. In more impoverished neighborhoods or in cities with historically larger numbers of immigrants or with immigrant political power, additional immigration seems to push crime down yet more.
Complex statistical work suggests that this correlation reflects a causal connection: more immigrants arrive and violent crime fades. Why would that be so?
Sampson and others suggest that Latino immigrants have stronger families and community institutions, such as churches, than do the native-born. These provide more social control over youth. Researchers also propose that immigration has helped economically revitalize many U.S. cities and driven down crime that way, too.
Whatever the explanation, the general pattern is the reverse of the heated rhetoric: Overall, immigration goes with less criminal violence.
Claude Fischer is a sociologist at UC Berkeley and is the author of Made in America: A Social History of American Culture and Character. This post originally appeared at his blog, Made in America, and was re-posted on the Berkeley Blog.
Comments 18
John George — July 29, 2015
This makes sense.
I know its just anecdotal, but when I'm caught behind an older car driving below the speed limit, I now try to see if the car is driven by or transporting senior citizens or persons who appear to be Latino. It's sometimes neither, but it seems like its usually the latter. I've always chalked it up to a desire to provide no reason for the police to make a stop. Most illegals are here for a purpose--to earn a decent living--so they do not want to create problems that could precipitate deportation. That's just my speculation. [BTW, I realize most, or at least many, people who "look Latino" are probably either citizens or are here legally (here for me is the USA), and I assume they are just cautious and desire not to be hassled for driving while looking illegal.]
I happen to have extensive experience with rental housing development and asset management, including affordable housing. While working with affordable housing predominantly occupied by Spanish speaking families, I have been amazed at how incredibly stable is its tenancy. Extraordinarily low turnover of apartments and virtually no evictions is the rule. While I've never attempted to quantify or document as a whole, I've gone out of my way to note this condition in individual reports I have been commissioned to produce for investors and/or funders....because the degree to which this condition is different from other housing is truly noteworthy.
So here's the point I want to make in my long-winded way....I am generally a law and order kind of person, and I strongly believe we have a right, and some responsibility, to enforce an orderly and legal immigration process; however, those who frame this need on emotional issues related to crime (outside of the immediate border areas) and an attempt to make these people seem less human are either woefully ignorant or intentionally dishonest. It also, amazes me that Republicans haven't awoken to the fact that Latinos are socially conservative and natural allies in most regards (e.g., traditionally Christians, traditional family structures, strong community institutions, value hard work and personal responsibility--they are generally pick yourselves up by your own bootstraps kind of people).
Modern "conservatives" as a whole are now intellectually adrift and have no idea what it means to be a conservative. It seems they simply think it means to immediately and without thinking tack 180 degrees from any course recommended by left-leaning Democrats.
TeaPartyImmigrationCoalition1 — July 29, 2015
Are you out of your minds?
Every.....repeat...EVERY study done indicates the exact opposite. We have reported crime stats from Texas, Mexifornia, North Carolina, Federal stats, CBO, GAO and other reports. ALL of them say that the rate of crime is as much as double that of any indigenous population except perhaps in certain ethnic neighborhoods.
Please. get your facts straight AFTER you see a shrink.
ViktorNN — July 30, 2015
Illegal immigration must necessarily increase crime because every crime that an illegal immigrant commits is a crime that wouldn't happen if they weren't in the country illegally.
Bill R — August 1, 2015
If the average person in a community commits 3 crimes per year and an illegal immigrant comes into town and commits 2 in a year, then the community is better off. Yeah?
Andrew McGivern — August 11, 2015
This is a large load of horse manure.
Trent Rock — August 13, 2015
I agree with the thesis of the article. One issue seems to be that there are no real studies about ILLEGAL immigrants and crime rates. All the studies are for immigrants, in general.... To the guy who said===>"Every.....repeat...EVERY study done indicates the exact opposite"
Why don't you post the links to the studies?
LiberalsTriggerMe — August 13, 2015
This "article" is yet another example of deception and poor research in the liberal media.
The author says:
"the surge of Latino immigration, documented and not, may partly explain the great drop in violent crime in American cities since the 1980s."
Dr. Fischer, who by the way, has a PhD, has fallen into the trap of "correlation does not imply correlation". Statistics 101.
As for the author's so-called sources, it is interesting that they are not reflective of the article's misleading title. The title mentions "illegal immigration" but the author tries to prove his point by using data from legal immigrants! Hundreds of articles have been written calling Donald Trump "racist" and which foolishly attempt to prove him wrong by doing the exact same thing this liar has done. Use data that is relevant!
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