Now, I am not one to trust the polls or to stop from knocking on wood every time a little flicker of hope rises in that maybe, just maybe, we’ll see President Obama in office come January. But in the spirit of things that may brighten up the day a bit, take a look at this analysis from the super-analyzers over at the FiveThirtyEight blog, which does some intense number-crunching and analyses of these way-too-many-too-confusing (ok, at least for me, who in studying for the GRE last night made some pretty red-faced math mistakes) poll numbers. According to their analysis, John McCain only has a 5.9% chance of winning the electoral college. Now this may seem overly optimistic even to the most glass-full of us, but take a look at their reasoning. You may find a little smile tugging at the corner of your lips.
UPDATE: Hey, is this the first time Gawker and Girl with Pen are on the same page?
Comments
gwp_admin — October 13, 2008
I know I know -- I'm trying so hard not to dance any happy dances yet, but a still small voice inside of me is saying "eeee!"
Dave Plotz — October 13, 2008
I met Nate Silver (author of 538.com, and recent Colbert guest) in a bar in Chicago this past weekend. He was awesome. I was unrestrained in my hero-worship, and came away feeling slightly embarrassed. But kudos for linking to him; anyone who cares about politics ought to read him daily.