“Dire Forecast: A theoretical model of the impact of climate change on crime,” Theoretical Criminology, 2011 (forthcoming in print)
This article, published online in advance, makes a convincing case that climate change could become a driving force of crime rates over the next century. Agnew argues that changes in climate—heat, extreme weather events, food/water shortages—are likely to increase crime by increasing strain and conflict, weakening social supports and social controls, and increasing criminal opportunities.
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