{"id":2623,"date":"2010-04-28T20:57:13","date_gmt":"2010-04-29T01:57:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/?p=2623"},"modified":"2010-05-05T11:03:32","modified_gmt":"2010-05-05T16:03:32","slug":"the-rise-of-the-also-rans-ndp-up-to-20-in-canada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/2010\/04\/28\/the-rise-of-the-also-rans-ndp-up-to-20-in-canada\/","title":{"rendered":"The Rise of the Also-Rans :: NDP Up to 20% in Canada"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_2622\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2622\" style=\"width: 552px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2622\" title=\"Harris\" src=\"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/files\/2010\/04\/Harris.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"552\" height=\"486\" srcset=\"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/files\/2010\/04\/Harris.jpg 552w, https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/files\/2010\/04\/Harris-100x88.jpg 100w, https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/files\/2010\/04\/Harris-400x352.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 552px) 100vw, 552px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-2622\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Canadian Press\/Harris\/Decima National Vote Intention Poll, 15-25 April 2010<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><em>Notes from north of 49\u00baN.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>In both Canada and the UK, voters are getting tired with the status quo and giving increasing support to third parties. We&#8217;ll see how it plays out on the UK next week with their elections, in light of the recent rise of the Liberal Democrats. In Canada, the <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.harrisdecima.com\/sites\/default\/files\/releases\/2010\/04\/26\/hd-2010-04-26-en640.pdf\">latest Canadian Press\/Harris Decima poll<\/a><\/strong> showed a surge for the New Democratic Party, at 20%, while the two major parties {Conservative Party and Liberal Party} have both fallen below 30%. BTW, here&#8217;s a post on <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/threehundredeight.blogspot.com\/2010\/03\/pollster-firm-leanings-quebec-update.html\">&#8220;house effects&#8221;<\/a> <\/strong>in Canadian polls, showing that the Harris Decima methodology tends to disfavour the Conservatives. I haven&#8217;t done a province-by-province analysis for Canada in a while, but I tend to watch Ontario closely, as it&#8217;s a bellwether region. The NDP is polling strong in Ontario at 19%. Apologies that some of the numbers on the following graphic are a bit fuzzy.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-2624\" title=\"By Province\" src=\"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/files\/2010\/04\/By-Province-400x283.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"283\" srcset=\"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/files\/2010\/04\/By-Province-400x283.jpg 400w, https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/files\/2010\/04\/By-Province-100x70.jpg 100w, https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/files\/2010\/04\/By-Province.jpg 688w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The NDP is polling at an all-time high in British Columbia at 31% and are in a tie with the Liberals and Conservatives with women voters. Nationally, the Greens have also held steady over the past year, dancing around the 10% mark.<\/p>\n<p>Stephen Harper&#8217;s Conservative minority government is flailing in light of the Guergis\/Jaffer affair and the recent kerfuffle over revealing documents relating to the Afghan detainee torture scandal.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Twitterversion::<\/strong> Canadian Press\/Harris poll shows spike for #NDP. Strong showing in BC and among women\u00a0#ThickCulture<\/p>\n<p><strong>Song::<\/strong> Julie Doiron-&#8216;Consolation Prize&#8217;<br \/>\n<object width=\"250\" height=\"40\"><param name=\"movie\" value=\"http:\/\/listen.grooveshark.com\/songWidget.swf\" \/><param name=\"wmode\" value=\"window\" \/><param name=\"allowScriptAccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"flashvars\" value=\"hostname=cowbell.grooveshark.com&amp;widgetID=21049158&amp;style=metal&amp;p=0\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Notes from north of 49\u00baN. In both Canada and the UK, voters are getting tired with the status quo and giving increasing support to third parties. We&#8217;ll see how it plays out on the UK next week with their elections, in light of the recent rise of the Liberal Democrats. In Canada, the latest Canadian [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":160,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[4427,1389,1455,1518,55,4425,4426,4393,1517,4424,1526,769],"class_list":["post-2623","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-consolation-prize","tag-british-columbia","tag-canadian-politics","tag-conservative-party-of-canada","tag-gender","tag-house-effects","tag-julie-doiron","tag-liberal-democrats","tag-liberal-party-of-canada","tag-new-democratic-party","tag-notes-from-north-of-49n","tag-polls"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2623","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/160"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2623"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2623\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2629,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2623\/revisions\/2629"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2623"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2623"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/thickculture\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2623"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}