{"id":50458,"date":"2012-08-14T11:30:36","date_gmt":"2012-08-14T16:30:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/familyinequality.wordpress.com\/?p=4593"},"modified":"2017-09-17T15:25:20","modified_gmt":"2017-09-17T20:25:20","slug":"exaggerating-gender-changes-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/socimages\/2012\/08\/14\/exaggerating-gender-changes-2\/","title":{"rendered":"The Myth of Looming Female Dominance"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cross-posted at Family Inequality<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n

It is great to acknowledge and celebrate the increase in father involvement in parenting. But it is not helpful to exaggerate the trend and link it to the myth-making about looming female dominance. Yesterday\u2019s feature in the Sunday New York Times<\/em> does just that, and reminds me that I meant to offer a quick debunking of Hanna Rosin\u2019s TED talk.<\/p>\n

The story is headlined \u201cJust Wait Till Your Mother Gets Home<\/a>.\u201d The picture shows a group of dads with their kids, as if representing what one calls \u201cthe new normal.\u201d Careful inspection of the caption reveals it is a \u201cdaddy and me\u201d music class, so we should not be surprised to see a lot of dads with their kids.<\/p>\n

The article also makes use of a New Yorker<\/em> cover<\/a>, which captures a certain gestalt \u2014 it\u2019s a funny exaggeration \u2014 but should not be confused with an empirical description of the gender distribution of parents and playgrounds:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Naturally, the story is in the Style section, so close reading of the empirical support is perhaps a fool\u2019s errand. However, I could not help noticing that the only two statistics in the story were either misleading or simply inaccurate. In the category of misleading, was this:<\/p>\n

In the last decade, though, the number of men who have left the work force entirely to raise children has more than doubled, to 176,000, according to recent United States census data. Expanding that to include men who maintain freelance or part-time jobs but serve as the primary caretaker of children under 15 while their wife works, the number is around 626,000, according to calculations the census bureau compiled for this article.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The Census Bureau has for years employed a very rigid definition of stay-at-home dads, which only counts those who are out of the labor force for an entire year for reasons of \u201ctaking care of home and family.\u201d This may seem an overly strict definition and an undercount, but if you simply counted any man with no job but with children as a stay-at-home dad, you risk counting any father who lost a job as stay-at-home. (A former student of mine, Beth Latshaw, now at Appalachian State University, has explored this issue and published her results here<\/a> in the journal Fathering<\/em>.)<\/p>\n

In any event, those look like big numbers, but one should always be wary of raw numbers in the news. In fact, when you look at the trend as published by the Census Bureau, you see that the proportion of married couple families in which the father meets the stay-at-home criteria has doubled: from 0.4% in 2000 to 0.8% today. The larger estimate which includes fathers working part-time comes out to 2.8% of married couple families with children under 15. The father who used the phrase \u201cthe new normal\u201d in the story was presumably not speaking statistically.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

(Source: My calculations from Census Bureau numbers<\/a>\u00a0[.xls file].\u00a0Includes only married-couple families with children under age 15.)<\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

That\u2019s the misleading number. The inaccurate number is here:<\/p>\n

About 40 percent of women now make more than their husbands, the bureau\u2019s statistics show, and that may be only the beginning of a seismic power shift, if new books like \u201cThe Richer Sex: How the New Majority of Female Breadwinners Is Transforming Sex, Love, And Family,\u201d by Liza Mundy, and \u201cThe End of Men: And the Rise of Women,\u201d by Hanna Rosin, are to be believed.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

I guess in these troubled times for the newspaper business it might be acceptable to report X and Y statistic \u201cif so-and-so is to be believed.\u201d But it is a shame to do so when the public is paying the salary of people who have already debunked the numbers in question. Just the other day, I wrote<\/a> about that very statistic: \u201cReally? No. I don\u2019t know why this keeps going around.\u201d Using freely available tables (see the post), I calculated that a reasonable estimate of the higher-earning-wife share is 21%. In fact, on this point Liza Mundy and Hanna Rosin and are not to be believed.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

(Source: My graph from Census Bureau numbers<\/a>.)<\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

TED: Misinformation Frequently Spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

There is a TED talk<\/a> featuring Hanna Rosin from the end of 2010, and I finally got around to watching it. Without doing a formal calculation, I would say that \u201cmost\u201d of the statistics she uses in this talk are either wrong or misinterpreted to exaggerate the looming approach of female dominance. For example, she says that the majority of \u201cmanagers\u201d are now women, but the image on the slide which flashes by briefly refers to \u201cmanagers and professionals.\u201d Professionals includes nurses and elementary school teachers. Among managers themselves, women do represent a growing share (although not a majority, and the growth has slowed considerably), but they remain heavily segregated as I have shown here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Rosin further reports that \u201cyoung women\u201d are earning more than \u201cyoung men.\u201d This statistic, which has been going around for a few years now, in fact refers to single, child-free women under age 30 and living in metropolitan areas. That is an interesting statistic, but used in this way is simply a distortion. (See this post<\/a> for a more thorough discussion, with links.)<\/p>\n

Rosin also claims that \u201c70% of fertility clinic patients\u201d prefer to have a female birth. In her own article<\/a> in the Atlantic<\/em>, Rosin reports a similar number for one (expensive, rare) method of sex selection only (with no source offered) \u2014 but of course the vast majority of fertility clinic patients are not using sex selection techniques. In fact, in her own article she writes, \u201cPolling data on American sex preference is sparse, and does not show a clear preference for girls.\u201d<\/p>\n

Finally, I don\u2019t think I need to offer statistics to address such claims as women are \u201ctaking control of everything\u201dand \u201cstarting to dominate\u201d among \u201cdoctors, lawyers, bankers, accountants.\u201d These are just made up. Congress is 17% female<\/a>.<\/p>\nPhilip N. Cohen is a professor of sociology at the University of Maryland, College Park, and writes the blog Family Inequality<\/a>. You can follow him on Twitter<\/a> or Facebook<\/a>.<\/span>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Inaccurate, misleading, distorted numbers on the coming dominance of women.\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":287,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[55,2088,2100,272,129,274,76],"class_list":["post-50458","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-gender","tag-gender-marriagefamily","tag-gender-work","tag-marriagefamily","tag-media","tag-methodsuse-of-data","tag-work"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/socimages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50458","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/socimages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/socimages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/socimages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/287"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/socimages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50458"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/socimages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50458\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":71559,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/socimages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50458\/revisions\/71559"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/socimages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50458"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/socimages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50458"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesocietypages.org\/socimages\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50458"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}